Wow...what an election season! For a political junkie like myself this was truly the gold standard of a primary season.
As we enter the final contests there are powerful statistics out there we would be wise not to ignore...
The fact is that nearly one third of Clinton supporters and nearly one third of Obama supporters say they would NOT support the other in the general election.
The days of "I'm sure her supporters would vote for me but I'm not sure my supporters would vote for her" are long...long...gone.
I am a strong, strong Hillary supporter. However, I am well aware of how catostrophic a McCain presidency would be. Therefor, I do not fall into the above category. That being said, I know many, many people who feel DEEPLY offended at the way she has been treated by the media, the party leaders, and many of Obama's supporters. They plan to either stay home or even go so far as to send a protest vote to McCain.
You know the "outrage" people say African Americans and young people would feel if Obama was "denied" the nomination. Well...millions of Women, Latinos, and Older Democrats feel that way right now.
I truly hope that should Obama win; his campaign realizes this outrage is both real and heartfelt. Personally, I cannot see any solution other than the two of them running together.
On that note, both have ammassed enough delegates that neither could be denied the VP slot IF they wanted it.
If you read the DNC rules you will see that the Presidential and Vice Presidential candidates are selected the exact same way. There is no doubt that either could get the needed super delegates to put them over the top if they wanted.
That being said, I think we need more than one or the other demanding the VP position. We should recognize that each represents clear and distinct factions within the party!
Obama: African Americans, urban liberals, Young people
Clinton: Women, Seniors, Blue collar workers, and Latinos
These demographic realities have been present for months and are not changing. Nor will it be solved through endorsements (see the help Maxine Waters, Maya Angelou, Bob Casey, provided).
The Democratic Party has a history of turning into a circulor firing squad and 2008 will be no different if these factions are not united on a joint ticket.
You may think it will be enough to say "It's the Supreme Court stupid" but the fact is it won't be. Once people pour their heart and soul into a candidate that wound does not heal easily.
In the last three weeks I have spent over 100 hours calling Oregon on behalf of Hillary. The phone bank I call from has been filled every day with committed Hillary volunteers. Obama won't just need their votes, he will need their energy as well (and vice versa).
I know lines have been drawn in the sand...but believe me...if this party is going to win in November it MUST be united!
Personally, I truly believe a unity ticket is the only way that will happen.
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